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optimization

Abstract diagram of a unified optimization loop joining screener selection and trade management
backtest

Why Screener and Strategy Belong in One Optimization Loop

Most stacks tune a screener then a separate strategy. KreamEdge evaluates both in one end-to-end loop with a shared signal engine, portfolio-level fitness, and a shortlist-then-joint search so selection and trade management stop drifting apart.

By KreamEdge, 3 days ago
Industrial press squishing gold coins flat, representing the SPX deflator compressing the liquidity threshold over time
backtest

SPX Liquidity Deflator: Correcting a Silent Bias in Long Backtests

A flat dollar-volume liquidity filter behaves differently in 2010 than in 2026, silently narrowing long backtests to mega-cap names and biasing the universe. This note quantifies the distortion and shows how a liquidity deflator corrects it.

By KreamEdge, 1 monthJune 15, 2026 ago
Backtest 332  -  cumulative returns vs SPX benchmark (linear scale)
backtest

Backtest 332 – Combined systematic 1D portfolio: US equities + world indices (CAGR 35%, MaxDD 27%)

Backtest 332 runs the US-equities book from Backtest 317 and the world-indices book from Backtest 308 on one shared cash account. Over Jan 2016 – May 2026 the blended portfolio compounded at 34.84% CAGR with a 27.13% max drawdown, versus 14.94% and 33.92% for the S&P 500.

By KreamEdge, 2 monthsJune 4, 2026 ago
Backtest 317  -  cumulative returns vs SPX benchmark (linear scale)
backtest

Backtest 317 – Systematic 1D strategy on US equities (CAGR 30%, MaxDD 18%)

Backtest 317 tests a long-only daily-bar systematic strategy on 4,176 US-listed equities from March 2016 to April 2026. It compounds to 30.4% CAGR versus 13.8% for the S&P 500, with a 17.7% max drawdown while holding positions only 78% of the time.

By KreamEdge, 2 monthsMay 30, 2026 ago
Backtest 308  -  cumulative returns vs SPX benchmark (linear scale)
backtest

Backtest 308 – Systematic 1D strategy on world major indices + KOSPI 50 (CAGR 33%, MaxDD 14%)

Backtest 308 tests a long-only daily-bar systematic strategy on 1,006 world major-index constituents, now including KOSPI 50, from February 2016 to April 2026. It compounds to 32.7% CAGR versus 14.2% for the S&P 500, with a 14.36% max drawdown.

By KreamEdge, 2 monthsMay 30, 2026 ago
Forest plot of matched-pair median Δ Sharpe across three position-sizing A/B contrasts on the KreamEdge backtest bench: A→B (sigma flip, n=133) and A→C (claimed reopt, n=131) cluster at zero  -  null effects; C→D (16→11 score-weight pruning + retune, n=97) shows a robust regression at −0.67.
backtest

Position sizing on a real bench: why our A/B can’t cleanly tell fixed from sigma

Comparing fixed fractional, Kelly and sigma-targeting position sizing on a multi-version KreamEdge backtest bench. The bench cannot cleanly isolate a sizing edge.

By KreamEdge, 2 monthsMay 23, 2026 ago
Infographic: Market Regime Filter null result  -  5-step pipeline (data, regime signal, filter, backtest, result) showing the regime filter did not improve performance
backtest

Market-regime filter null result – why an SPX percent-rank gate did not improve our quant backtests

We built a 3-state SPX percent-rank market-regime gate and tested it on 14 systematic quant backtests. None improved. The base rates and the structural reasons why – plus what to try next.

By KreamEdge, 2 monthsMay 18, 2026 ago
Abstract equity curve on a dark grid with French flag color accents, representing a systematic ETF backtest in a French assurance vie
backtest

Stratégie assurance vie Linxea Spirit2 ETF [154]

Une strategie systematique construite sur une liste de 77 ETFs disponibles dans l’assurance vie Linxea Spirit2, avec parametres d’entree et resultats de backtest detailles.

By KreamEdge, 5 monthsMarch 12, 2026 ago
backtest

A realistic Systematic 1D Crypto Strategy

A systematic daily crypto strategy that sidesteps structural bear phases instead of riding them out: 29% market exposure, 1.66 Sharpe, 32% max drawdown over 2018-2026, with a statistically smooth equity curve relative to asset volatility.

By KreamEdge, 5 monthsFebruary 27, 2026 ago
backtest

Why LLM Trading Backtests Are (Mostly) Nonsense

A critical reading of the TradingAgents multi-agent LLM trading paper, explaining why backtesting LLM-based trading agents is fundamentally problematic and why most published results should be treated with extreme caution.

By KreamEdge, 6 monthsJanuary 13, 2026 ago

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Disclaimer. Content on KreamEdge is published for informational and educational purposes only. Backtest results and strategy outputs do not constitute personalised investment advice nor an invitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Financial markets involve risk of partial or total capital loss. Each reader is solely responsible for their investment decisions and risk management. Full bilingual disclaimer on the community page.

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